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The Australian share market is poised for a strong start to the week off the back of a solid close to Wall Street’s Friday session, although a busy week of economic data could introduce volatility across the week.
All eyes will be on the Reserve Bank’s monthly cash rate decision on Tuesday, with the widely held expectation among most Australian economists of a 0.25 per cent increase. Though, few would be surprised by a 50 bps hike to front load some hiking ahead of the the RBA's US central bank counterparts.
Key sets of economic data will be released across this week, including retail trading figures on Monday. The RBA makes its interest rate decision on Tuesday, which will also coincide with the release of house price data expected to decline. RBA governor Philip Lowe will also make a speech on Tuesday evening that will be dissected carefully by market participants.
On Wednesday, the ABS will release building approval and lending data, and the US Federal Reserve’s hike will be known on Thursday morning. The ABS also releases international trade data on Thursday.
On Friday, the RBA will release its quarterly statement on monetary policy that is expected to contain revised economic growth forecasts, including higher inflation expectations and lower growth expectations.
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